离散时间T-S动态故障树在民用飞机辅助动力装置系统安全性评估中的应用研究
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    摘要:

    辅助动力装置(APU)是安装于飞机上的、用于提供辅助动力源的、自成体系的小型发动机。在民用飞机APU系统安全性评估过程中,逐步采用动态故障树对传统故障树进行优化,使故障树分析结果能够更加精确地体现系统失效的动态特性。不同于传统故障树可以根据布尔逻辑求解,动态故障树一般需要转化为同构的状态空间模型才能求解。这种求解过程欠缺通用性,并且存在指数爆炸问题。采用离散时间TS动态故障树计算方法,计算了APU系统故障树中的一段子树的顶事件的失效概率,并与使用马尔可夫模型计算的结果进行比较。计算结果发现随着任务时间分段的增加,相对误差单调下降。当任务时间分段大于5时,相对误差小于1%,在计算精度满足要求的情况下能够显著降低计算成本。

    Abstract:

    Auxiliary power unit (APU) is a smallsized engine installed on the aircraft which is used to provide auxiliary power resource. In the process of APU system safety assessment of civil aircraft, dynamic fault tree is gradually used to optimize the traditional fault tree, so that the fault tree analysis results can more accurately reflect the dynamic characteristic of system failure. Different from the traditional fault tree, it can be solved by Boolean logic; dynamic fault tree usually needs to be transformed into isomorphic state space model to solve. This kind of solution process lacks generality and has the problem of exponential explosion.In this paper, the discretetime TS dynamic fault tree calculation method was employed to calculate the failure probability of the top event of a subtree in APU system fault tree, and the results were compared with those calculated by Markov model. The results show that the relative error decreases monotonously with the increase of task time segments. When the task time segment is more than 5, the relative error is less than 1%, which can significantly reduce the calculation cost when the calculation accuracy meets the requirements.

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陶文操,王栋.离散时间T-S动态故障树在民用飞机辅助动力装置系统安全性评估中的应用研究[J].民用飞机设计与研 究,2021(4):67-72TAO Wencao, WANG Dong.[J]. Civil Aircraft Design and Research,2021,(4):67-72. ( in Chinese)

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-01-07
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